Brown Bag Seminar: Multifractal Volatility with Leverage and Skew

Relatore:  Viola Simonetti - ESSEC Business School
  martedì 3 marzo 2026 alle ore 12.00 Aula Vaona

We extend the Markov Switching Multifractal (MSM) framework of Calvet and Fisher (2004) by introducing leverage and skewness (LS). The resulting MSM--LS model preserves the tractability of the original MSM specification while allowing for time-varying leverage and skewness in returns, two salient empirical features that are pervasive in financial time series. We further show that the MSM--LS model delivers superior volatility forecasts across multiple horizons, highlighting the economic value of incorporating leverage and skewness into the multifractal volatility framework.


Referente
Roberto Reno'

Referente esterno
Data pubblicazione
19 gennaio 2026

Condividi